The noble corruption of climate science
This is a story of climate science, tracing from its enthusiastic beginnings as small field – warning of a global threat –to its rich and increasingly desperate present. It is a long story, with a climax at the end.The climate change campaign hits a dead endOn 24 June 1988, James Hansen’s testimony to the Senate began the campaign to fight anthropogenic global warming. During the following 31 years we have heard increasingly dire forecasts of doom. Some describe the distant future, beyond any reasonable forecasting horizon (due to both technical and social uncertainties). Some describe the near future. Many attribute almost all current extreme weather to our emissions of greenhouse gases (GHG) – using impossible to validate methods.Karl Popper said that successful predictions, especially of the unexpected, were the gold standard of science (see here). That is a problem for climate activists. The Earth has been warming since the mid-19th century, when the Little Ice Age ended. The rate of warming in the past four decades (since 1977) is roughly the same as that during the four decades up to 1945. Anthropogenic GHG became a major factor only after WWII. So warming has occurred as predicted, but a naive forecast (without considering GHG) would have also predicted warming. There are explanations for this, but it makes model validation difficult (perhaps why it is seldom attempted: see links in section f in the For More Info section of this post). https://www.thegwpf.com/the-noble-corruption-of-climate-science/






Comments
 
 

No Comments



Irwin


e-mail

Like it: 0
Don't like it: 0
Posted by: Irwin
Title The noble corruption of climate science |
Published on: 4/5/2020
This is a story of climate science, tracing from its enthusiastic beginnings as small field – warning of a global threat –to its rich and increasingly desperate present. It is a long story, with a climax at the end.The climate change campaign hits a dead endOn 24 June 1988, James Hansen’s testimony to the Senate began the campaign to fight anthropogenic global warming. During the following 31 years we have heard increasingly dire forecasts of doom. Some describe the distant future, beyond any reasonable forecasting horizon (due to both technical and social uncertainties). Some describe the near future. Many attribute almost all current extreme weather to our emissions of greenhouse gases (GHG) – using impossible to validate methods.Karl Popper said that successful predictions, especially of the unexpected, were the gold standard of science (see here). That is a problem for climate activists. The Earth has been warming since the mid-19th century, when the Little Ice Age ended. The rate of warming in the past four decades (since 1977) is roughly the same as that during the four decades up to 1945. Anthropogenic GHG became a major factor only after WWII. So warming has occurred as predicted, but a naive forecast (without considering GHG) would have also predicted warming. There are explanations for this, but it makes model validation difficult (perhaps why it is seldom attempted: see links in section f in the For More Info section of this post). https://www.thegwpf.com/the-noble-corruption-of-climate-science/

Comments




Photo Collection
More Pictures
Deforestation-the-massacre?2176
Deforestation the massacre
Posted by: CLASSIC
Published on: 12/29/2020
Man-is-the-deadliest-plague-on-the-planet?2168
Man is the deadliest plague on the planet
Posted by: TheCleanWay
Published on: 12/12/2020
Looking-to-the-passive-environment?2165
Looking to the passive environment
Posted by: elit
Published on: 12/6/2020
Every-ton-of-recycled-paper-saves-17-trees?2154
Every ton of recycled paper saves 17 trees
Posted by: CLASSIC
Published on: 11/21/2020
The-Truth-About-Paper-Bags?2145
The Truth About Paper Bags
Posted by: TheBestPlanet
Published on: 11/10/2020
5-climate-change-facts-to-scare-you?2135
5 climate change facts to scare you
Posted by: TheCleanWay
Published on: 11/8/2020
Save-the-rain-forests?2134
Save the rain forests
Posted by: MisterGreen
Published on: 11/8/2020
Corruption-in-the-Medical-Device-Industry?2129
Corruption in the Medical Device Industry
Posted by: NewObservers
Published on: 11/6/2020
Corruption-in-the-Medical-Device-Industry?2128
Corruption in the Medical Device Industry
Posted by: NewObservers
Published on: 11/6/2020
What-are-the-side-effects-of-anabolic-steroid?2016
What are the side effects of anabolic steroid
Posted by: safe
Published on: 6/28/2020
11-Largest-Nutrition-Lies-in-the-Media?2000
11 Largest Nutrition Lies in the Media
Posted by: LOTISS
Published on: 6/14/2020
The-Risks-Of-Using-Heroin-With-Methamphetamine?1999
The Risks Of Using Heroin With Methamphetamine
Posted by: nocrime
Published on: 6/14/2020
How-People-Hide-Their-Meth-Addiction?1998
How People Hide Their Meth Addiction
Posted by: nocrime
Published on: 6/14/2020
The-real-cost-of-addiction?1943
The real cost of addiction
Posted by: nocrime
Published on: 6/5/2020
The-real-cost-of-addiction?1942
The real cost of addiction
Posted by: nocrime
Published on: 6/5/2020
The-Dangers-of-Hiding-Drugs-in-Body-Cavities?1940
The Dangers of Hiding Drugs in Body Cavities
Posted by: PAM
Published on: 6/5/2020
The-Dangers-of-Hiding-Drugs-in-Body-Cavities?1939
The Dangers of Hiding Drugs in Body Cavities
Posted by: PAM
Published on: 6/5/2020
Tor-Browser-The-Basics?1926
Tor Browser The Basics
Posted by: elit
Published on: 6/3/2020
Common-Job-Scams-and-How-to-Avoid-Them?1924
Common Job Scams and How to Avoid Them
Posted by: elit
Published on: 6/3/2020
The-New-Face-Of-the-Organized-Crime?1884
The New Face Of the Organized Crime
Posted by: elit
Published on: 5/28/2020
Microsoft-could-be-listening-to-some-Skype-calls?1865
Microsoft could be listening to some Skype calls
Posted by: elit
Published on: 5/27/2020
Microsoft-could-be-listening-to-some-Skype-calls?1864
Microsoft could be listening to some Skype calls
Posted by: elit
Published on: 5/27/2020
How-Climate-Change-Impacts-Mental-Health?1732
How Climate Change Impacts Mental Health
Posted by: TheOldGreen
Published on: 5/14/2020
How-Climate-Change-Impacts-Mental-Health?1731
How Climate Change Impacts Mental Health
Posted by: TheOldGreen
Published on: 5/14/2020
ExxonMobil-was-aware-of-the-disaster?1685
ExxonMobil was aware of the disaster
Posted by: MisterGreen
Published on: 5/13/2020
Whats-Become-of-the-Arctic?1648
Whats Become of the Arctic
Posted by: MISTRAL
Published on: 5/10/2020
Whats-Become-of-the-Arctic?1647
Whats Become of the Arctic
Posted by: MISTRAL
Published on: 5/10/2020
-Off-Shore-Oil-Drilling-?1626
Off Shore Oil Drilling
Posted by: MisterGreen
Published on: 5/8/2020
-Off-Shore-Oil-Drilling-?1625
Off Shore Oil Drilling
Posted by: MisterGreen
Published on: 5/8/2020
11-OF-THE-BEST-FOODS-FOR-HORMONE-BALANCE?1563
11 OF THE BEST FOODS FOR HORMONE BALANCE
Posted by: NewHealth
Published on: 5/1/2020
11-OF-THE-BEST-FOODS-FOR-HORMONE-BALANCE?1562
11 OF THE BEST FOODS FOR HORMONE BALANCE
Posted by: NewHealth
Published on: 5/1/2020
29-Profound-Internet-Privacy-Statistics?1554
29 Profound Internet Privacy Statistics
Posted by: elit
Published on: 4/30/2020
Does-hot-weather-really-fuel-violent-crime?1517
Does hot weather really fuel violent crime
Posted by: intra
Published on: 4/21/2020
The-Glaciers-Are-Going?1493
The Glaciers Are Going
Posted by: MisterGreen
Published on: 4/19/2020
The-Glaciers-Are-Going?1492
The Glaciers Are Going
Posted by: MisterGreen
Published on: 4/19/2020
The-Glaciers-Are-Going?1491
The Glaciers Are Going
Posted by: MisterGreen
Published on: 4/19/2020
The-Successful-Weight-Loss?1470
The Successful Weight Loss
Posted by: stopObesity
Published on: 4/17/2020
Effects-of-Hazardous-Chemicals?1457
Effects of Hazardous Chemicals
Posted by: TheReal
Published on: 4/16/2020
Effects-of-Hazardous-Chemicals?1456
Effects of Hazardous Chemicals
Posted by: TheReal
Published on: 4/16/2020
Effects-of-Hazardous-Chemicals?1455
Effects of Hazardous Chemicals
Posted by: TheReal
Published on: 4/16/2020
-How-to-Lose-Weight-and-Keep-It-Off?1413
How to Lose Weight and Keep It Off
Posted by: nass
Published on: 4/10/2020
-How-to-Lose-Weight-and-Keep-It-Off?1412
How to Lose Weight and Keep It Off
Posted by: nass
Published on: 4/10/2020
Coronavirus-offers-reprieve-from-air-pollution?1398
Coronavirus offers reprieve from air pollution
Posted by: TheReal
Published on: 4/7/2020
Coronavirus-offers-reprieve-from-air-pollution?1397
Coronavirus offers reprieve from air pollution
Posted by: TheReal
Published on: 4/7/2020
-The-top-1O-corporate-polluters-Greenpeace-USA?1396
The top 1O corporate polluters Greenpeace USA
Posted by: TheReal
Published on: 4/7/2020
The-noble-corruption-of-climate-science?1381
The noble corruption of climate science
Posted by: Irwin
Published on: 4/5/2020
The-noble-corruption-of-climate-science?1380
The noble corruption of climate science
Posted by: Irwin
Published on: 4/5/2020
We-Are-Flushing-Our-Forests-Down-The-Toilet?1320
We Are Flushing Our Forests Down The Toilet
Posted by: Mirenda
Published on: 4/1/2020
We-Are-Flushing-Our-Forests-Down-The-Toilet?1319
We Are Flushing Our Forests Down The Toilet
Posted by: Mirenda
Published on: 4/1/2020
We-Are-Flushing-Our-Forests-Down-The-Toilet?1318
We Are Flushing Our Forests Down The Toilet
Posted by: Mirenda
Published on: 4/1/2020
We-Are-Flushing-Our-Forests-Down-The-Toilet?1317
We Are Flushing Our Forests Down The Toilet
Posted by: Mirenda
Published on: 4/1/2020
Why-is-Climate-Changing-Today?1291
Why is Climate Changing Today
Posted by: TheCleanWay
Published on: 3/30/2020
Why-is-Climate-Changing-Today?1290
Why is Climate Changing Today
Posted by: TheCleanWay
Published on: 3/30/2020